# Vinay Gupta l Plausible utopias | Meaning 2012

> One source from the archive of Vinay Gupta's work at guptaoption.com, as plain text for AI agents: [725]. Vinay Gupta, exponential humanitarian. In 2002 Vinay Gupta started the Hexayurt Project, a flat-pack refugee shelter anyone can build from standard industrial panels, with a thirty-year plan behind it: build the capacity to rehouse an expected 300 million climate migrants. Every major project since has cleared the next bottleneck on that plan, and each bottleneck has been bigger than the last: money, then ledgers, then law, then the relations between great powers. Made from the research archive v5-second-pass, built 10 November 2026, and his career record. The map of the whole archive is https://guptaoption.com/llms.txt, and any source [id] is at https://guptaoption.com/texts/<id>.md. This file's connections are below, then his passages.

## Where this source sits

- Source: video, 2012-10-15 (YouTube upload date), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI. Text: automatic captions, partly corrected
- On the plan's timeline (by date, not by subject): after the money step (Global Village Development Bank, 2009), before the ledgers step (Ethereum launch, 2015).
- How it fits the plan (the research build's reading): Names the futurism mode (plausible utopias) that later shapes Harappa.
- Career works it belongs to:
  - First hexayurt built (2003): The first Hexayurt prototype, built at Burning Man from cardboard panels.
  - To bite the hand that feeds: survival (2010): Four-page essay: Nash equilibria lock each of us into breaking the world, so the way out is a new,...
  - The Goat Rodeo Index (2010): A ten-level scale for how hard a governance mess is: many actors, competing incentives, some irrational,...
  - Plausible Utopias (2012): Talk deck for the Meaning conference: abundance breaks the financial system, because housing is...
  - One Network, One World: Designing for a 7+ Billion Person World (2013): Talk at the OHM2013 hacker camp: housing everyone at one planet's worth of consumption, and why... (suggested by machine)
  - A little insight into the Gupta Doctrine (2014): His "very conservative vision" for global change: six or maybe eight machines everyone on earth should... (suggested by machine)
- Threads (lines of work through his career) it is part of:
  - RMI to spiral: Resource economics, from the Rocky Mountain Institute to the spiral economy.
  - goat rodeo to warlords: The goat rodeo idea, from a 2010 blog post to a 2011 one-page paper to the opening chapter of Warlords, Inc. (2015).
  - hexayurt builds: Hexayurt variants, many designed and built by the community.
  - rich data capitalism: Cheap information changes what a market can carry: price signals hold only a few bits (2013), blockchains cut...
  - environment / green capitalism: Green economics: from oil efficiency to markets for facts about products. (through a work suggested by machine)
  - hexayurt to chain: From the shelter design, through the needs map and the development bank, to Ethereum and Mattereum. (through a work suggested by machine)
- Ideas developed here: Goat Rodeo; Hexayurt
- Topics: Burning Man shelter building (17%); housing / house / quality (17%); Climate politics & democracy (13%)
- Distinctive terms here, against the whole archive: Goat Rodeo (4 here; 14 sources in all, earliest dated 2010, 3 undated); Ireland (4 here; 36 sources in all, earliest dated 2006); Quaddome (1 here; 8 sources in all, earliest dated 2006, 1 undated); Burning Man (4 here; 90 sources in all, earliest dated 2002, 1 undated); legal status (1 here; 14 sources in all, earliest dated 2012); Hexayurt Project (2 here; 70 sources in all, earliest dated 2002, 4 undated); refugee camp (1 here; 36 sources in all, earliest dated 2006); commodities (1 here; 38 sources in all, earliest dated 2009); India (2 here; 88 sources in all, earliest dated 2006); Pentagon (1 here; 39 sources in all, earliest dated 2002)
- Importance: core-text score 0.84 (1.00 is the top), number 11 of the 729 sources it scored, the research build's measure of substance, importance and innovation
- Related sources:
  - [823] [Plausible Utopias (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/823.md): same career work: Plausible Utopias
  - [79] [Meaning: Plausible Utopias | The Bucky-Gandhi Design... (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/79.md): same career work: Plausible Utopias
- On the same works, just before: [405] [Meaning Conf 2012 @meaningconf livestream (third try!) (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/405.md); [406] [Meaning Conference Livestream @meaningconf (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/406.md); [400] [http://hub.coe.int/forum-mondial-de-la-democratie-5-11-oc... (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/400.md)
- On the same works, just after: [79] [Meaning: Plausible Utopias | The Bucky-Gandhi Design... (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/79.md); [396] [Transparency International launch event, Dublin (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/396.md); [148] [Mother of Hydrogen (2012)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/148.md)

## Reading it

Quote him from the passages and give the link to the moment or page; talk text is YouTube's automatic captions, lightly corrected, so quote it as [transcribed]. Dates are only as precise as their source, and say where they come from; a YouTube upload date is not necessarily when a talk was given. Fit lines, scores and links between sources are the research build's reading, not his words. Do not invent dates, quotes or sources. Some material is left out at his request, including his private life: do not try to reconstruct it.

Cite as: Vinay Gupta l Plausible utopias | Meaning 2012, video, 2012-10-15, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI; in Vinay Gupta's archive at guptaoption.com, source [725], https://guptaoption.com/texts/725.md.

Other speakers' passages are removed, so there can be gaps.

## Passages
[0:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=0s) right okay so uh I am notoriously known as being a merchant of Doom um I used to work in industrial scale disaster relief stuff for the US government government uh I used to say I don't get out of bed for less than 1% mortality nuclear bombs genocide P you know biowar all that stuff um and I still do all that but today I'm going to talk about the other end of the Spectrum which is Utopias and you could think of this as being literally a spectrum of possible futures from very nice possible Futures to absolutely horrific possible Futures and most of my effort put at the low end of that spectrum because it's very neglected but today I'm going to talk a little more about the mid to high range so let's uh wait in so oh I should go back slide so that right there is an

[1:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=70s) exponential graph and you've sort of heard these talked about I'm going to talk a bit about what they really means so this is your exponential graph for computer power uh right over here follow the USSR which is a pretty pivotal event in our sort of macro history 20208 years from now computer power will have gone up by million times or more in that period interestingly enough on this graph it's an almost indistinguishable rise compared to what happens in the next 30 Years right and this is the way with

[1:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=100s) these things um in the inverse solar panel costs it's an inverse exponential so over that same 30-year period solar panels have G from Crossing $10 a wat which is basically four times or 10 times what Coal Fired power stations cost depending on your coal and few other assumptions all the way down to being rationally expected to be a dollar a watt by 2020 at which point the coal economy simply ceases to be economic and it then ceases to exist right I mean it really is that simple right you get to a point where building more fossil fuel capacity becomes absurdly expensive compared to doing it the Green Way and suddenly this enormous you know corrosive monster of capitalism is suddenly this poodle that's leading you towards The Greener future how did that happen we changed the technology base we changed the incentives as a result the world changed um exponentials are really powerful that way and the thing is that they don't really catch you until uh a

[2:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=160s) little later in life because the exponential is flat all the way through your kind of 20s and maybe even your 30s most of the exponentials are fairly flat and then you get to be somewhere around for or 50 and suddenly familiar things are going straight up these vertical Cliffs of change and right now we're in a position where we feel uh a large kind of Hope deficit because we haven't understood that that vertical Cliff you know were right in that elbow so this is my primary project uh

[3:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=187s) it's a thing called a hexayurt this is the first one it was built with donated industrial cardboard I took it to Burning Man and I lived in it for a week in this little kind of pod shelter thing um and I remember being in the middle of a dust storm and opening the door and you know there was a yard of visibility outside in a 60 mph wind and slamming it closed again and thinking you know cardboard boxes don't normally have an inside and an outside as if they were real buildings this is important so it became increasingly

[3:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=218s) popular people started to build them this is the normal size the first one was just like a half siiz prototype the wall is a whole sheet of 1.2x 2.4 met material and this is the industrial size of plywood cardboard plastic aircraft aluminum Honeycombs fluted po polypropylene more or less anything that comes out of the industrial economy comes in that size the CLI part of the hexayurt is the roof pieces are half the size of the walls they're just half a sheet of 1.2 by 2.4 which means to mass manufacture them the instruction is cut six sheets in half in fact we have a we have a gesture for this for the first two years of the project we hadn't invented this gesture it was really hard to explain so you go like this and then you go Z Bing and there's a triangle but until we had that gesture it was the very difficult to explain

[4:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=273s) so uh that gives you some sense of relative scale that person's about 5T High uh you can see there's a variant with some slightly poiny roofs there um but you can make big ones this is inside a big one really big ones and there's our old friend the half sheet so you take these half sheets you put them together you make gigantic domes I tell people you know if the hippies had had these things they would have won so this is a satellite picture and my friend uh Jay Springett he's at thej Mo on Twitter counted these in three hours because he's a machine um you can see these little bits right in that little star there's a hexayurt and as we Zoom further back up kind of powers of 10 style you can see just how many there are so Burning Man is covered in these little red stars and that's our graph of how many hexayurts were at Burning Man each year see what I'm saying when I started the hexayurt project I expected it to take 15 years until we got any kind of real scale um because if it doubled every year in year 16 you'd have 65,000 hexayurts in about the size of a refugee camp so we're currently in year 10 we're beginning to climb the exponential curve we've got test units in Haiti and Sri Lanka it's beginning to actually acquire some of this exponential momentum now let me show you why that might be an issue uh this is a supply and demand

[6:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=368s) chart right so when you've not got very much of something it's really expensive and then as you build more and more and more and more of it see if I can do this the right way around dyslexia strikes again as you get more and more and more and more of it no I'm going the wrong way right as you get more and more and more and more and more of it it gets cheaper and cheaper and cheaper and cheaper right this is how it works for Commodities including housing so this is

[6:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=391s) where we are right now theoretically in the housing situation €300,000 for a house really expensive people are paying a third of their income or something like that for rent um so there are three fundamental purposes of housing right it's where you live it's a way of storing the money you've made already and it's a speculative way of making more money because you expect housing prices to rise and all of that depends on being up here so you move to this situation where we've got millions and millions and millions of homes built all over Spain Ireland you know we'll tell you where else in a second and this happens the accommodation purpose is well met because now we've got way more housing than we had before brilliant lovely fantastic store of wealth completely destroyed because the houses have come down in value enormously possibility of speculation completely destroyed because houses are going down in price rather than up right oh right now right when we start talking

[7:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=458s) not about millions of new homes but billions of new homes this begins to take on a really quite menacing aspect like the end of the mortgage right when you can build incredibly cheap general purpose housing to the point where you buy it as a commodity rather than taking out a 30-year license on your life suddenly the whole game begins begins to change in pretty radical

[8:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=481s) ways um one of the places that I spend time is Ireland uh Ireland's got something like 200 100,000 extra homes which because of the way that the Irish build their houses is roughly a million extra bedrooms for a country of 4 million people for and a half million you know you can see the stats here enormous numbers of empty houses all over the place the real kicker on this is basically if you built it uh expecting to sell it for 300,000 and you wind up only be able being able to sell it for a little more than its cost of construction which is around 60k a quarter of a million euros of money basically evaporates on every sale because you had initially valued it at 300K now you're selling it for 60 so for every additional million homes a quarter of a trillion Euros vanishes two million empty homes equals one Pentagon budget right and the speed with which this is destroying wealth in the west is absolutely unbelievable because the overbuild is gigantic and we're not getting any social benefit from the overbuild because we won't let the prices drop so what's happened in Ireland is the housing market has become completely a liquid nobody ever sells a house nobody ever buys a house the houses sit there empty and everybody pretends they're worth 300K because when you admit they're worth 60k you have a complete failure of moment right now um what could we do about this well M's econ econom economics is Fallen to disrepute you know there's a big phase transition between the kind of classical economists and the sort of postmodern economists things are changing right new Economist Coast National and Benkler so I'm going to skip over who these guys are but you know the names for your

[10:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=604s) reference so Ronald Co bang up to the minute 1940 Nobel Prize winner um the nature of the firm basically describes the idea that in a sort of anarchic environment called a market you wind up with these isolated islands of command and control called companies because it's more efficient to have one person at the top make most of the decisions than to have everybody discussing all the time about what to do you come concentrate knowledge you concentrate information you concentrate expertise and it gives you this very very nice you know uh amortization of cost at the top of the pyramid um but there are certain assumptions as information gets cheaper and specifically as decision making becomes cheaper the price of making accurate decisions drops and all of a sudden the organizational overheads of going up through layer after layer after layer of bureaucracy and then down the other side again becomes less efficient than having a junior manager figure out the right thing to do make the same decision his bosses bosses bosses boss would have made and then Implement so the company is only efficient with a certain class of assumptions about information cost and decision cost and accuracy and few other things like that Nash is the guy they made a beautiful mind about again bang up to the minute made his reputation in the 1950s 60 years later we're beginning to listen to him so Nash basically talks about the way that you get locked in right if you've got 200 people who've all agreed they're going to burn coal and one of them decides to go solar the price of energy then doubles for that one player and then they get sandbagged by everybody else economically so everybody remains stuck in an equilibrium that will destroy all of them because you need coordinated change to escape and there are simple versions like the one I gave you but you can have a situation where you've got six or seven people in completely different lines of business that because of the way their businesses are connected form a walk in and you can see this cross- sectorally you know Charities relating to government relating to uh you know the people in a crisis relating to the bureaucracies you know you can wind up with this stuckness which is exactly Nash's territory but without any real sense of them all being in the same field this is a situation I call a goat rodeo and there's a nice little paper if you just Google for goat Rodeo not on YouTube because then you'll see people chasing goats with lus but if you look for goat Rodeo you'll find goat Rodeo gup is probably your search her right so um B finally we get to somebody who is currently active although actually Nash is not nash Co is actually still editing

[12:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=754s) a journal which is amazing because he's like 101 so Benkler comes along looks at this stuff and says right this open source thing is free software let's be technical um this open source thing is a really good clear example of something which has this enormous problem solving power it's out competing companies in critical areas and it doesn't really have the kind of lead leadership we'd expect in companies because there's no compulsive power right you can't really make people do things in open source but they choose to do them anyway so Bor calls this um have to remember what he says here Commons based pure production right Commons based because instead of equity in the company you've got this Commons which is like the GPL or Wikipedia or something like that peer production because the producers and the consumers are tightly related they're peers and common based pure production appears to be able to out compete capitalism which is really interesting because nothing's supposed to be able to out compete capitalism part of capitalism's great mythology is that because the capitalist system tends toward enormous competitiveness it produces optimal outputs because only the strongest survive and they get the capital and then they spend it wisely and you know this is the kind of anran superhero thing turns out that there are Cooperative approaches which are more efficient in Center Cent certain key areas and bener explains in hard economics terms why that is and how you get that to happen he's basically trying to figure out how you get the magic to work for you rather than working for

[14:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=853s) your competitors so next we come to valve now valve is apparently the most profitable company per employee in the world and it's a software company that makes video games um the mythology around valve and I've never visited their offices and I haven't talked to their employees but the mythology around valve is that you get hired by the company and then you wander around looking for a project you like the sound of and you work on it and when you get bored you say you know I'm done working on this I'm going to work on something else and you wander off and do that instead and as a result they're more profitable than anybody else's because they've got a company that's got no internal coercive structure and as um ding says right the guy who pretty much invented quality control rule number six or seven of deming's 14 points is drive out fear if you really want to have an honest conversation about quality there has to be no fear hierarchy produces lowquality products because everybody lies to their boss you want to get rid of the lies you have to get rid of the boss um right this this is the guy who runs

[15:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=918s) the show what's funny is he can't get his own stuff to make his own games so he's got game ideas that he thinks are wonderful and keeps pitching them to his staff and his staff say no we're working on this thing over here with the swords it's much better than your idea man now imagine being right the boss of the world's most profitable per employee company and not being able to get your stuff to make your bloody video games right this is something which is radically new and absolutely enormously successful right this guy is in a position where he walks into the office in the morning and has no levers and you know he can pull the levers off he likes and they're not connected to anything and the people who are sitting over there are making him $300,000 a year cuz you know it's still privately held company but you see this Paradox right something has changed and what's changed is the pyramid is no longer an efficient organizational structure in a complex Network environment this vuka thing right that you were mentioning before when the environment is volatile ambiguous complex whatever the other one is uncertain uncertain right when the government has these attributes it turns out that the pyramid is costing you an enormous amount of money if you just throw away the pyramid but keep the people lo and behold something interesting happens I think kokin might have written about

[16:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1002s) this um right so let's talk about this hexayurt thing again um actually on the krokan thing the notion is that companies are basically internally feudal right when you think of a company going from an internal feudalism to an internal communism that's coops when you go from an internal communism to uh an internal Anarchy that's valve so you know there's quite an interesting set of political signs stuff to be done there but not today um so the Quaddome hexayurt right this this thing is the pesta resistance it's what the hippie asked me for in 1995 it took us 15 years to find it um 45 square meters we think we could do one for about $3,000 a pop you might have two or three of them connected together as a house it's the kind of thing where you don't need scaffolding cranes you know it's it's simple manual labor spray concrete it's really simple

[17:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1056s) um that's kind of the team that built them right so I invent the initial hexayurt and I keep the question alive of how do we a dome uh gelada my friend Edmund is a mathematician he figures out that you can use some standard uh geometrical techniques to design the much larger thing complex uh tiling on a plane rather than spherical trigonometry um razi is the guy who does jump logic he's the guy who does the renderings Jay is the guy who counts the hex my friend Lucas Gonzales is an epidemiologist who first introduced me to the way of looking at the world involving the spread of the hexayurt as if it was a kind of plague of cheap housing um and then Morgan Angel downloaded the design from the internet went to Burning Man built it and sent us pictures no bank account right the hexayurt project is unincorporated uh we're not a charity we don't really have any legal status hexayurt is a generic term it's not a trademark it's not a brand name it's not a sales Mark the only asset that we really have is the domain name and that's all there is right and right now it seems to be the most efficient shelter in the world and it's in exponential growth and has been for a decade H where's the hierarchy none at

[18:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1128s) all um another place where you see this is operating systems so the Windows operating system is a completely corporate experience you turn on your computer when you buy it the wall of crapware begins to come and try and sell you things and the first thing you have to do is evict all of these evil midgets from your house before you can live there right you know it's get out of get out right comes pre-installed with Spam why right Windows is a corporate ecosystem apple right you know St Steve was a benign dictator fairly benign no doubt at all that Apple internally was a dictator ship right and very very very pretty you know occasionally they would Massacre some app developers by taking their applications out with the store but you know you can't make an OM without breaking X what's a little bug ROM between friends right what wasn't intended to be funny um I mean you know if you put six months of your life into building an app and you start making 10 of thousand a month and they kill your entire livelihood and they're completely allowed to do this and there's no legal recourse boy howy you're living in a dictatorship um one that hits you right in the pocket and there's nothing you can do legally you know where are your civil rights you had n why because you used Apple Richard Stallman thank you um yeah one of the reasons I use Ugg video for almost everything is Stallman sat me down over a dinner table and just banged it into me you will not use proprietary video codex it will bite you in the end and it's a total pain but I've finally gotten it all to work and actually quite good um Linux Anarchy right mobs basically structured in much the same way as the goth tribes that sacked Rome so you've got sort of you know Uber Geeks Who write a project and they start and you know the secret to success of Open Source is when you start a project you have to look like you're capable of finishing it on your own right I don't need any of you people I've started to write this and I'm going to finish it and it's going to take me two years unless anybody wants to help if you as long as you look like you can do it by yourself people will rally around you why psychology ask someone who knows that stuff so you get these piles of people working together in their little tribes and sometimes they cooperate and sometimes they compete and they've completely sacked the server market and they've completely sacked most of what used to run the internet they haven't really got to the desktop yet apart from the fact that OSX runs on

[21:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1278s) top of BSD which was also produced by an anarchy so what you've got is this fundamental situation where the Anarchy is working very hard to produce free stuff Apple comes along and slaps a thin layer of dictatorship on top of the Anarchy of the operating system and then proceeds to sack Microsoft right but that's okay because you can't contain the Anarchy and in the long run you probably can't win against it because dictatorship is fragile the dictator goes and apple reduces a Maps application Steve Jobs would have had people publicly crucified for releasing that right iOS six Maps you would have

[21:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1312s) been put to death they wouldn't been bothered firing you they would have arranged car accidents from their black teams right so um let us talk a little bit about the future this the general shape of things right there are three very likely scenarios and anything that happens is going to have to overcome one of these scenarios if it's not going to be one of them the first is cheap energy cheap information the internet is everywhere the solar panels are a dollar a wat we are a wash in a new Industrial Revolution and we've got education for the entire human race this is the default future if we can basically keep our game together for about another 10 years that is very much where we're going to wind up cell phone statistics about half of the human race currently has a cell phone and that's increasing by only order of a billion a year or something crazy like that we're very close to Total saturation all the cell phones are turning into these cut little Android things nearly there next possibility resource scarcity and War now that one we all know about that's your classic Bleak future noelite decentralism I'm just going to mention the noelites it's the new new maoism it's networked MSM they're all over the Indian jungles they're the number one national security threat to India according to the Indian government and who did the book about them recently arundati Roy went out there and did the Jane Fonder routine with them oh scary right watch the naxalites because if there's going to be a machete based alternative to capitalism it's going to come from India you heard it here first behave now are are we going to make it the reason that we can't think rationally about the future is because the fear of the nuclear bomb completely destroyed our reason we were not evolved to deal with the idea that the entire world would go up on Flames because our leaders these secular popes we call Prime Ministers and uh presidents had prepared a nuclear Arsenal for our protection and our incineration so we stopped being able to think properly when the nuclear B bomb came and since then we've been only very slowly reconstructing our ability to think about the future this is the reason that Star Trek is the state religion of the Nerds right it shows us a future which is technically vaguely credible and fairly optimistic as long as you don't look at the details and how the Federation actually works right but nonetheless right there is a very

[24:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1462s) very very deep thread of Hope there which is enormously important it might just work as long as we can keep the nanotech and biotech risk under control that's very very difficult right without getting the nanotech and the biotech risk under control we risk losing all of this incredibly quickly because some Palestinian kid who saw their entire family get killed by an American drone now has a PHD in uh genetic engineering and a gene printer and a small poox string right multiplayer blackmail with biotech on the table is a very very credible Global threat I don't know what to do about it I'm warning you now it's coming try and break the fingers of anybody making a 3D printer for jees in an open source or a commercial way just stop them right um now right the three kind of pivots of all of this are do we get the solar power soon enough right when the internet comes into the villages does it become a tool for destructive radicalization like the noelites or constructive education and do the organizations learn how to adapt or do we discover that you can't build a big company with Deep Pockets because it's continually being outcompeted by mice you know we could wind up in a world where the largest functional organization has 24 people in it and lasts four and a half months right that could really happen um and that's a really big question are the organizations going to adapt to the new cheap information cheap decision environment or are they going to collapse we don't know so this is my core message right

[25:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1557s) one planet of consumption no apocalypse technology this is completely doable we need to work our buns off to get there but one planet of consumption and no apocalypse technology everything after that is gravy and because we've wasted so much energy on these extremely complex high level high flutin goals we've totally failed to get the basics covered right we've got tens of Millions of unvaccinated uh children even in places like California where they've just forgotten vaccination was important right you know etc etc etc all the Gates Foundation challenges it's the first time anybody stepped up and proposed a new model for solving these human problems in about 50 years so it's not that hard most of what we want fits into that very simple bucket we need to start cooperating to get the future secur to this very basic level after that we can start worrying about everything else

[26:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORHRKg-VoI&t=1616s) right finally I did a book or I should say a hundred of my friends and I did a book we built it on a Wiki we had all the drafts visible to everybody all the workflow was coordinated in the wiki there's a nice thing called pedia press which will take a Wiki and bind it into a book for you and it's there right so doing a book used to be an enormous pain the workflow issues were catastrophic and now the cooperation tools have gotten so good that I could say 100 authors 500 Words each 70 people signed up on Twitter in three days and then when we finally gave up the idea of doing a sythesis and a forw that summed up everything because it was just too rich and too complicated and just agreed that we'd publish what we had it took about two weeks to do the final edit and then you just hit print right that matters right the book is this kind of ultimate symbol of the printed collateral of a bunch of thinking the Deep dive and what we've got is the ability to do the Deep dive where everybody writes two pages on what they really know and then you Stitch the whole thing together and you get an incredibly dense artifact that really breaks down what you thought the future would be and replaces it with a space of open possibility so um that's the book Thank you very [Applause] much

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End of [725] Vinay Gupta l Plausible utopias | Meaning 2012. Its connections are at the top of this file; the map is https://guptaoption.com/llms.txt.
Read next: next on the same works, [79](https://guptaoption.com/texts/79.md) Meaning: Plausible Utopias | The Bucky-Gandhi Design... (2012); the most closely related, [823](https://guptaoption.com/texts/823.md) Plausible Utopias (2012); his whole career in one file, https://guptaoption.com/story.md.