# The systemic risks model for survival | The Bucky-Gandhi Design Institution > One source from the archive of Vinay Gupta's work at guptaoption.com, as plain text for AI agents: [70]. Vinay Gupta, exponential humanitarian. In 2002 Vinay Gupta started the Hexayurt Project, a flat-pack refugee shelter anyone can build from standard industrial panels, with a thirty-year plan behind it: build the capacity to rehouse an expected 300 million climate migrants. Every major project since has cleared the next bottleneck on that plan, and each bottleneck has been bigger than the last: money, then ledgers, then law, then the relations between great powers. Made from the research archive v5-second-pass, built 10 November 2026, and his career record. The map of the whole archive is https://guptaoption.com/llms.txt, and any source [id] is at https://guptaoption.com/texts/.md. This file's connections are below, then his passages. ## Where this source sits - Source: document (Text), 2008-04-20 (from the career record), http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/hexayurt/the-systemic-risks-model-for-survival-551. Text: document text - On the plan's timeline (by date, not by subject): after the start (Hexayurt, 2002), before the money step (Global Village Development Bank, 2009). - How it fits the plan (the research build's reading): Records the switch from a parts list to a needs model, the birth of SCIM's individual tier. - Career works it belongs to: - Six ways people die (2008): Framework: people die of heat, cold, hunger, thirst, illness or injury, so infrastructure has to answer... - First Pentagon Proposal: the Hexayurt Research Agenda (2006): An outline asking for funding to make the Hexayurt an off-the-shelf item and to assemble a Complete Family... (suggested by machine) - The Physical Aspects of Distributed Infrastructure (2008): Design study for ultra-low-cost solar thermal homes off the grid: cooling from the ground and evaporation,... (suggested by machine) - Hope for the World (2009): Talk at an emergency housing workshop in Sweden: disaster relief and development aid are one problem, and... (suggested by machine) - One Network, One World: Designing for a 7+ Billion Person World (2013): Talk at the OHM2013 hacker camp: housing everyone at one planet's worth of consumption, and why... (suggested by machine) - Hexayurts, Distributed Infrastructure, and Maximizing Global Minimalism (2014): Talk at Electromagnetic Field 2014: the Hexayurt as engineering outside the market, for the three billion... (suggested by machine) - Threads (lines of work through his career) it is part of: - STAR-TIDES: The National Defense University project and the papers around it. - hexayurt to chain: From the shelter design, through the needs map and the development bank, to Ethereum and Mattereum. - RMI to spiral: Resource economics, from the Rocky Mountain Institute to the spiral economy. (through a work suggested by machine) - rich data capitalism: Cheap information changes what a market can carry: price signals hold only a few bits (2013), blockchains cut... (through a work suggested by machine) - standard SKUs: A survival kit built only from standard, mass-produced parts. (through a work suggested by machine) - Topics: Hexayurt shelter design & project — hexayurt, hexayurt project, project (100%) - Distinctive terms here, against the whole archive: gasification stove (1 here; 8 sources in all, earliest dated 2002); composting toilet (1 here; 13 sources in all, earliest dated 2002) - Importance: core-text score 0.41 (1.00 is the top), number 161 of the 729 sources it scored, the research build's measure of substance, importance and innovation - Related sources: - [710] [TEDxEWB - Vinay Gupta - Enabling Humanitarian Innovation (2010)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/710.md): same career work: Six ways people die - [369] [Hexayurt Project - Six Ways To Die (2008)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/369.md): same career work: Six ways people die - On the same works, just before: [33] [Soft Development Paths (2008)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/33.md); [832] [Index of /six_ways_to_die (2008)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/832.md); [833] [Vinay Gupta - Hexayurt Project - Briefing to the... (2008)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/833.md) - On the same works, just after: [17] [The Physical Aspects of Distributed Infrastructure (2008)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/17.md); [238] [Ending Poverty With Open Hardware (Reykjavik Digital... (2008)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/238.md); [63] [Health insurance for $10 per year using the network |... (2008)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/63.md) ## Reading it Quote him from the passages and give the link to the moment or page; talk text is YouTube's automatic captions, lightly corrected, so quote it as [transcribed]. Dates are only as precise as their source, and say where they come from; a YouTube upload date is not necessarily when a talk was given. Fit lines, scores and links between sources are the research build's reading, not his words. Do not invent dates, quotes or sources. Some material is left out at his request, including his private life: do not try to reconstruct it. Cite as: The systemic risks model for survival | The Bucky-Gandhi Design Institution, document, 2008-04-20, http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/hexayurt/the-systemic-risks-model-for-survival-551; in Vinay Gupta's archive at guptaoption.com, source [70], https://guptaoption.com/texts/70.md. ## Passages [passage 1](http://vinay.howtolivewiki.com/blog/hexayurt/the-systemic-risks-model-for-survival-551) I’ve been working towards a simple model of survival for some time. The Hexayurt Infrastructure Package is based around a “substitution” model: * instead of your electric cooker, a wood gasification stove * instead of your toilet and the sewage plant, a composting toilet and so on. The problem with this model is that it is too far removed from basic human needs: it’s organized in “solution space” (i.e. terms are defined and mapped relative to the solutions that westerners commonly use.) But that was never satisfactory, because solution space carries with it the historical baggage of all previous solutions. Easy to understand, but carries a lot of very deeply hidden implicit assumptions. I’ve come up with a new model, based in “problem space” – what people need to stay alive. It is much, much simpler. I call it the “systemic risks model” because it lists the risks that one can prepare for and do something about, the risks which are mitigatable and preventable. It doesn’t cover accident, and medical contingencies like childbirth, which are rather in a separate category that I’m still mapping (something along the lines of “medical emergency” but how to fit eyeglasses and dental care and contraception and child birth together into that map, eh?) Work in progress. --- End of [70] The systemic risks model for survival | The Bucky-Gandhi Design Institution. Its connections are at the top of this file; the map is https://guptaoption.com/llms.txt. Read next: next on the same works, [17](https://guptaoption.com/texts/17.md) The Physical Aspects of Distributed Infrastructure (2008); the most closely related, [710](https://guptaoption.com/texts/710.md) TEDxEWB - Vinay Gupta - Enabling Humanitarian Innovation (2010); his whole career in one file, https://guptaoption.com/story.md.