# Warlords, Inc.: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord ... - Google Books

> One source from the archive of Vinay Gupta's work at guptaoption.com, as plain text for AI agents: [115]. Vinay Gupta, exponential humanitarian. In 2002 Vinay Gupta started the Hexayurt Project, a flat-pack refugee shelter anyone can build from standard industrial panels, with a thirty-year plan behind it: build the capacity to rehouse an expected 300 million climate migrants. Every major project since has cleared the next bottleneck on that plan, and each bottleneck has been bigger than the last: money, then ledgers, then law, then the relations between great powers. Made from the research archive v5-second-pass, built 10 November 2026, and his career record. The map of the whole archive is https://guptaoption.com/llms.txt, and any source [id] is at https://guptaoption.com/texts/<id>.md. This file's connections are below, then his passages.

## Where this source sits

- Source: document (Web page), 2015-05-12 (from the career record), https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=adFnBAAAQBAJ. Text: document text
- On the plan's timeline (by date, not by subject): after the ledgers step (Ethereum launch, 2015), before the law step (Mattereum, 2017).
- How it fits the plan (the research build's reading): Catalogue of Warlords, Inc.
- Career works it belongs to:
  - Warlords, Inc.: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord Entrepreneur (2015): Contributor: wrote chapter 1, Of Warlords and Rodeos: Why Nothing Works, for a collection on warlords as...
  - Through the Looking Glass (2010): Talk for FEASTA in Ireland on systemic risk: government is the wrong place to manage big risks, so... (suggested by machine)
  - The Big Deal (2011): Four-essay blog series arguing that government has hit hard limits, so civil society, working with... (suggested by machine)
  - Multipolar Realpolitik (2024): Essays arguing that a global truce among a few great powers, with treaties checked by AI, blockchains and... (suggested by machine)
- Threads (lines of work through his career) it is part of:
  - goat rodeo to warlords: The goat rodeo idea, from a 2010 blog post to a 2011 one-page paper to the opening chapter of Warlords, Inc. (2015).
  - CheapID to Mattereum: One identity pattern, from a person's ID card in 2006 to warranties on physical goods in 2017. (through a work suggested by machine)
  - cyber and defense: Security work for defense clients, built on one idea: set rivals to check each other. Resilience and Opportunity in... (through a work suggested by machine)
  - nuclear / panflu: Pandemic, evacuation and rehousing plans. (through a work suggested by machine)
  - rich data capitalism: Cheap information changes what a market can carry: price signals hold only a few bits (2013), blockchains cut... (through a work suggested by machine)
- Topics: Goat Rodeo / warlord entrepreneurs — governance failure (100%)
- Distinctive terms here, against the whole archive: Warlords, Inc. (4 here; 6 sources in all, earliest dated 2015, 2 undated); warlord entrepreneur (2 here; 4 sources in all, earliest dated 2015, 1 undated); post-state (1 here; 3 sources in all, earliest dated 2014); scenario planning (1 here; 10 sources in all, earliest dated 2015); India (3 here; 88 sources in all, earliest dated 2006); citizens (2 here; 63 sources in all, earliest dated 2006, 3 undated); Afghanistan (1 here; 27 sources in all, earliest dated 2009, 1 undated); cyber (1 here; 32 sources in all, earliest dated 2009); markets (4 here; 159 sources in all, earliest dated 2006, 6 undated); supply chains (1 here; 59 sources in all, earliest dated 2006, 2 undated)
- The earliest dated source in this archive for (undated sources may be earlier): scenario planning
- Importance: core-text score 0.09 (1.00 is the top), number 631 of the 729 sources it scored, the research build's measure of substance, importance and innovation
- Related sources:
  - [194] [Of Warlords and Rodeos: Why Nothing Works - North... (2015)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/194.md): same career work: Warlords, Inc.: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord Entrepreneur
  - [25] [The Goat Rodeo Index (2011)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/25.md): same career work: Warlords, Inc.: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord Entrepreneur
- On the same works, just before: [302] [Vinay Gupta - Protecting History (blockchains) Maker... (2015)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/302.md); [194] [Of Warlords and Rodeos: Why Nothing Works - North... (2015)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/194.md); [234] [zenpundit.com » Blog Archive » WARLORDS, INC BOOK LAUNCH!!! (2015)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/234.md)
- On the same works, just after: [775] [Vinay Gupta - Foreign Policy By Internet Protocol (2015)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/775.md); [296] [Vinay Gupta - Transparent Society - Crowdfunding on... (2015)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/296.md); [171] [Taming Black Elephants (2015)](https://guptaoption.com/texts/171.md)

## Reading it

Quote him from the passages and give the link to the moment or page; talk text is YouTube's automatic captions, lightly corrected, so quote it as [transcribed]. Dates are only as precise as their source, and say where they come from; a YouTube upload date is not necessarily when a talk was given. Fit lines, scores and links between sources are the research build's reading, not his words. Do not invent dates, quotes or sources. Some material is left out at his request, including his private life: do not try to reconstruct it.

Cite as: Warlords, Inc.: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord ... - Google Books, document, 2015-05-12, https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=adFnBAAAQBAJ; in Vinay Gupta's archive at guptaoption.com, source [115], https://guptaoption.com/texts/115.md.

## Passages
[passage 1](https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=adFnBAAAQBAJ) Search Images Maps Play YouTube News Gmail Drive More Calendar Translate Books Shopping Blogger Finance Photos Docs Even more » Account Options Sign in Books Try the new Your Library After November 18, 2026, you'll no longer be able to manage books in Classic My Library. Visit the new Your Library now to import your bookshelves. Go to Your Library Dismiss Try the new Your Library Try the new Google Books My library Help Advanced Book Search Get print book No eBook available Amazon.co.uk Waterstones Blackwell Find in a library All sellers » Shop for Books on Google Play Browse the world's largest eBookstore and start reading today on the web, tablet, phone, or ereader. Go to Google Play Now » Warlords, Inc. : Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord Entrepreneur Noah Raford , Andrew Trabulsi North Atlantic Books , 12 May 2015 - Political Science - 256 pages Combining path-breaking research and analysis from leading political scientists, advisors to heads of state, and award-winning academics, Warlords, Inc. pulls back the curtain on the secretive world of drug cartels and violent insurgencies, revealing their inner workings and implications for a world driven by unrelenting change and growing political uncertainty. These essays show how, as the complexities of modern geopolitical pressures mount, the world's elaborate but fragile political systems are becoming increasingly vulnerable to breakdown and deliberate disruption. The authors demonstrate that as infrastructures such as IT networks, global supply chains, and financial markets become increasingly volatile, the stability of entire populations hangs in the balance. Warlords, Inc. traces the evolution of forces that are reshaping the future of the geopolitical landscape: Mexican drug cartels, revolts in the Middle East and Africa, military conflicts in Eastern Europe, the growth of slums and street gangs in India, and the proliferation of cyber-attacks and drone warfare. The contributors demonstrate how the underworld of the global economy thrives, how it disrupts and maintains power, and why, looking toward the future, we should all be paying attention. CONTENTS 1. Of Warlords and Rodeos: What Happens When Nothing Works? 2. Social and Economic Collapse: Lessons from History and Complexity 3. Innovation, Deviation and Development: Warlords and Proto-State Provision 4. Sovereignty, Criminal Insurgency, & Drug Cartels: The Rise of a Post-State Society 5. From Patronage Politics to Predatory States:Crime and Governance in Africa 6. Warlord Governance: Transition Towards, or Coexistence with, the State? 7. 5GW: Into the Heart of Darkness 8. Weaponizing Capitalism: The Naxals of India 9. Mexico's Criminal Organizations: Weakness in Their Complexity, Strength in Their Evolution 10. The Politics of a Post-Climate-Change World: Pyongyang, Puntland, or Portland? 11. Bringing the End of War to the Global Badlands 12. The White Hats: A Multitude of Citizens 13. Beyond Survival: A Short Course in Pioneering Responses to Present (and Future) Crises Preview this book » Selected pages Title Page Table of Contents Index Contents Of Warlords and Rodeos 3 Sovereignty Criminal Insurgency and Drug Cartels 23 Warlord Governance 51 7 67 Mexicos

[passage 2](https://books.google.co.uk/books?id=adFnBAAAQBAJ) End of War to the Global Badlands 12. The White Hats: A Multitude of Citizens 13. Beyond Survival: A Short Course in Pioneering Responses to Present (and Future) Crises Preview this book » Selected pages Title Page Table of Contents Index Contents Of Warlords and Rodeos 3 Sovereignty Criminal Insurgency and Drug Cartels 23 Warlord Governance 51 7 67 Mexicos Criminal Organizations 91 Bringing the End of War to the Global Badlands 131 The White Hats 141 Beyond Survival 169 Notes 189 Index 215 About the Contributors 229 Copyright Other editions - View all Warlords, Inc: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord ... Noah Raford , Andrew Trabulsi No preview available - 2015 Common terms and phrases actors Afghanistan Africa American armed authority Avaaz become Cali cartel capital cartels challenge Chhattisgarh civil society Climate Change collapse complex conflict Conflicts Forum corruption Criminal Insurgency crisis culture democratic deviant globalization drug ecological modernization economic elite emissions energy environment existing failed failure forces functions future gangs genocide Green Social Democracy groups growth Hezbollah human Hutu illicit India industrial infrastructure innovation Institute Jharkhand Khmer Rouge leaders legitimacy major Maoists ment Mexico military million movement Naxals networks NGOs non-state operations organized crime Oxford patronage percent political economy population Post Carbon potential problem producerist radical regime regional resilience Rwanda Social Democracy strategy terawatts territory terror terrorist threat tion trafficking transition transnational Tutsi United University Press violence warlord enterprise warlord entrepreneurs weapons white hat white hats wicked problem York About the author (2015) ANDREW TRABULSI is a consultant and entrepreneur who focuses on technology and economic development policy. Based in San Francisco, his work and research has included technology capacity building with indigenous communities in the Amazon rainforest, community development work with the Federal Reserve Bank, innovation consulting with Deloitte LLP, and analysis of the REDD+ carbon finance programme. NOAH RAFORD works as an advisor to the United Arab Emirates Prime Minister's Office, where he provides policy and strategy advice on a range of special projects. Previously he helped design, develop and manage the nation's first foresight and scenario planning unit. He has consulted with governments, NGOs and private corporations around the world on a range of issues related to foresight, urbanism, risk, governance, policy, and strategy. Bibliographic information Title Warlords, Inc.: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord Entrepreneur Editors Noah Raford , Andrew Trabulsi Contributor Robert J. Bunker Publisher North Atlantic Books, 2015 ISBN 158394902X, 9781583949023 Length 256 pages Subjects Political Science › Globalization Political Science / Globalization Political Science / Political Economy Political Science / Terrorism Export Citation BiBTeX EndNote RefMan About Google Books - Privacy Policy - Terms of Service - Information for Publishers - Report an issue - Help - Google Home

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End of [115] Warlords, Inc.: Black Markets, Broken States, and the Rise of the Warlord ... - Google Books. Its connections are at the top of this file; the map is https://guptaoption.com/llms.txt.
Read next: next on the same works, [775](https://guptaoption.com/texts/775.md) Vinay Gupta - Foreign Policy By Internet Protocol (2015); the most closely related, [194](https://guptaoption.com/texts/194.md) Of Warlords and Rodeos: Why Nothing Works - North... (2015); his whole career in one file, https://guptaoption.com/story.md.